Many in agriculture weren’t sad to see 2019 come to a close. For most, it was a pretty tough year. Low commodity prices and difficult growing conditions were prevalent across much of the country, and the weight of uncertainty in international trade only served to make things worse.
Fortunately, there are some bright spots for agriculture on the horizon, especially with recent positive movement on trade agreements. We’ll talk about the three biggest agreements and what they mean for U.S. ag producers.
U.S.-Japan Trade Agreement
On October 7, 2019, the U.S.-Japan Trade Agreement was signed. It’s designed to eliminate or reduce tariffs on certain agricultural products to enhance bi-lateral trade in a way that is mutually beneficial and promotes a robust and stable trade environment.
For example, under the agreement, Japan will:
- Reduce tariffs on products such as fresh and frozen beef and pork.
- Provide a country-specific quota for wheat and wheat products.
- Reduce the mark-up on imported U.S. wheat and barley.
- Eliminate tariffs for almonds, walnuts, blueberries, cranberries, sweet corn, grain sorghum, broccoli and more.
- Provide staged tariff elimination for products such as cheeses, processed pork, poultry, beef offal, ethanol, wine, frozen potatoes, oranges, fresh cherries, egg products and tomato paste.
While the agreement doesn’t substantially change trade with Japan, it is a positive step toward stabilizing the trade environment.
United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement
The USMCA was agreed upon by the three countries to modernize and help rectify some of the deficiencies of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). American agriculture will surely benefit from some of the key provisions, including:
- Expanded market access for American dairy, poultry and egg products.
- The elimination of Canada’s milk classes 6 and 7.
- The addition of a mechanism for cooperation on ag biotechnology.
- Significant commitments to avoid trade-distorting policies.
- Fair treatment in grading the quality of American wheat.
This agreement still faces significant barriers prior to taking effect, including Canadian ratification and each country meeting specific obligations set out in the deal.
U.S.-China Phase One Trade Agreement
Historically, trade talks with China have always been a bit of a rollercoaster. When it seems that progress is being made, it often takes a turn.
Recently, there’s new hope that progress is being made because of China’s agreement to import frozen meat to help offset the effects of the pork shortage created by African swine fever. In addition, the agriculture chapter of the phase one deal addresses structural and non-tariff barriers to U.S. agriculture.
Many commentators in the industry have expressed concern that China has overpromised in the amount of goods they’ve committed to buy from the U.S., but overall there is continued optimism that relations seem to be cordial and relatively stable. With several positives to cite, there’s reason to remain optimistic.
Here’s to a better 2020
U.S. Ag seems ready to move forward into a new year and new decade with a clean slate and some positive things on the horizon. On behalf of the Wipfli Ag practice, I’d like to extend our best wishes for a happy, healthy and prosperous new year for you and your families. Whatever 2020 brings, we are here to keep you informed on news that impacts you and help you navigate these changes.